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PRE US OPEN, Daily Technical Analysis, 05 July 2012
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY AUD/USD Gold Crude Oil
Please note that due to market volatility, some of the below sight prices may have already been reached and scenarios played out.
EUR/USD intraday: capped by a negative trend line.
Pivot: 1.2565

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.2565 with targets @ 1.25 & 1.246 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.2565 look for further upside with 1.2625 & 1.2665 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is capped by a bearish trend line.

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GBP/USD intraday: key ST resistance at 1.564.
Pivot: 1.564

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.564 with targets @ 1.5570 & 1.5540 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.564 look for further upside with 1.566 & 1.5705 as targets.

Comment: As long as the resistance at 1.564 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 1.5570 remains high.

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USD/JPY intraday: caution.
Pivot: 79.5

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 79.5 with targets @ 79.9 & 80.1 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 79.5 look for further downside with 79.25 & 79.15 as targets.

Comment: The RSI has just landed on a support around 30% and is reversing up.

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AUD/USD intraday: caution.
Pivot: 1.024

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.024 with targets @ 1.032 & 1.035 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.024 look for further downside with 1.02 & 1.015 as targets.

Comment: The RSI is mixed and calls for caution.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1611.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1611 with targets @ 1625 & 1632.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1611 will call for a slide towards 1602 & 1595.

Comment: The RSI advocates for further advance.

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Crude Oil (Aug 12) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 86.50

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 86.5 with 88.75 & 89.5 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 86.5 will open the way to 85.1 & 84.35.

Comment: The RSI is bullish and calls for further upside.

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